Yes, Donald Trump is going to prison

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Here’s an oddity. Each time prosecutors in New York and Georgia take yet another concrete step in the process of criminally indicting Donald Trump, and the more clear it becomes in the process that Trump is going to end up in prison, the more loudly some liberal pundits have begun insisting that Trump is going to magically get away with it all.

I couldn’t tell you why so many liberal political pundits are so obsessed with insisting that Trump will somehow magically never go to prison no matter what. They know they’re going to end up being proven wrong on this, so why stick with it? Maybe they feel like they’re so married to their longtime predictions that Trump will magically get away with it all, they have no choice but to keep doubling down on it, on the off chance that they end up getting lucky. Or maybe they’re still of the belief that saying Trump will get away with it all makes them look judicious. After all, they’ll argue, they’re honest enough to tell you what you don’t want to hear. The trouble is, they’re telling you something that you don’t want to hear and that they know isn’t true.

But here’s the thing. Regardless of the motivations of the liberal pundits who keep doubling down on this nonsense, we keep seeing reminders of just how clearly wrong they are. It’s not just that New York and Georgia have hired outside prosecutors with specialties in getting convictions in these kinds of cases. It’s not just that New York is pushing to flip Steve Bannon and Allen Weisselberg on Trump, while Georgia is pushing to flip Rudy Giuliani on Trump, and that these kinds of cooperating witnesses result in slam dunk convictions. It’s that the criminal justice system works in a particular way.

Just this week we finally saw Trump ally Ghislaine Maxwell indicted for sex trafficking. She’d previously been charged with other related felonies. But it took until now to build up the case to the point that she was finally charged with the main underlying crime. These kinds of comprehensive multi-layered criminal cases really do take that long to be built from the ground up.

No one thinks Maxwell is going to magically get away with it all just because the criminal case against her has taken this long to build. Yet when it comes to the liberal pundits who keep insisting that Donald Trump is going to get away with it all, their main reasoning is that because Trump hasn’t yet been indicted, he’ll never be indicted. That’s like arguing that it won’t rain next week because it’s not raining at this particular moment. It’s simply not how anything works. All the available facts point to Trump going to prison. Those who claim otherwise are, shall we say, making arguments that are incompatible with the facts.