These numbers are insane

| 3:48 pm EDT August 19, 2024
Dear Palmer Report readers, we all understand the difficult era we're heading into. Major media outlets are caving to Trump already. Even the internet itself and publishing platforms may be at risk. But Palmer Report is nonetheless going to lead the fight. We're funding our 2025 operating expenses now, so we can keep publishing no matter what happens. I'm asking you to contribute if you can, because the stakes are just so high. You can donate here.

The polls have their problems, and individual polls are even more problematic than overall polling averages. If you really want to know what’s going on in a race, you have to look at the good and the bad and put it all in context. The thing is, these numbers of late are all good – and they’re almost insanely good.

There’s the new IPSOS poll that says Kamala Harris’ favorability rating is even, which is to say that an equal number of people approve and disapprove of her, while Trump’s favorability rating is at minus-24 points. That same poll has Tim Walz at plus-10 and JD Vance at minus-11. But that’s just the start.

There’s the new FocalData poll which has Kamala ahead by seven points in Michigan and six points in Wisconsin, and interestingly, one point ahead in North Carolina. There’s also the new Hispanic Federation poll which has Harris a whopping 24 points ahead of Trump with Hispanic voters.

I could go on and on with other new polls, but the point is that they’re insanely good for Kamala Harris overall. Of course there are some caveats. The same FocalData poll that shows Kamala comfortably ahead in Michigan and Wisconsin? It has her only one point ahead in Pennsylvania.

And even with Kamala Harris now a few points ahead in all of the national polling averages, let’s remember that President Biden won the popular vote by five points in 2020 and it was barely enough. If Biden had won by three points, he probably wouldn’t have won the Electoral Collage. So even with these ongoing amazing numbers for Kamala, we have to keep working. Don’t be a spectator. Get involved!