The Rudy Giuliani takedown

| 9:30 pm EDT March 18, 2022
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For those asking why the DOJ hasn’t yet indicted Rudy Giuliani: the DOJ just fairly recently won an eight month court battle to obtain the evidence that it seized when it raided Rudy’s home. Not only do these things take time, it’s often not the DOJ that causes things to take so long.

In addition to the DOJ finally being granted Rudy’s seized communications, there is other recent movement. Lev Parnas decided last week out of the blue to plead guilty on a single specific charge (while continuing to fight against other charges), and then the DOJ indicted Lev’s Russian national co-conspirator. That same Russian national also conspired with Rudy.

For those yelling “just hurry up and arrest everyone already” – are you seriously saying the DOJ should have indicted Rudy without knowing when or if it would ever have access to the evidence it intended to use against him? If Rudy had been arrested last year, he’d probably be off the hook by now. And then you’d be complaining about how the DOJ “blew” the Rudy case by arresting him too soon – after you spent all that time demanding he be arrested immediately.

“So why don’t they arrest Rudy now?” They just got the seized evidence they were seeking. It takes time to work through it and follow up on it. You only think they’re doing “nothing” because it’s not in the headlines every day.

“But they have to try arresting Rudy right this minute or else he’ll keep scheming and we’re all doomed!” Okay, name one thing Rudy has done in the past nine months that’s caused us to be doomed. You can’t. Nor will we be “doomed” if it takes another two months to arrest Rudy.

Besides, this isn’t about merely arresting Rudy. It’s about flipping him. DOJ needs at least one cooperating witness to have a realistic shot at convicting Trump, which is what you’re all really rooting for, right? Since the goal is to flip Rudy, it’s not enough to simply build a case that’ll convict him. The DOJ has to build a case so overwhelmingly strong, Rudy realizes he’s going to be convicted, and decides to flip.

Indicting Rudy now, when he still thinks he might get off at trial, is actually the slow path to taking Trump down. It could take another year for Rudy to get to trial, and he wouldn’t flip until after he’s convicted. Building the case so thoroughly that Rudy flips instead of waiting for trial, is the faster path to Trump.

That’s the thing about the calls from the doomsday pundits for the DOJ to be more “aggressive” – not only does that stuff have far less chance of working, even if it does work it would take longer to work than the methodical method of building comprehensive cases and flipping people.

And while the DOJ can likely convict Rudy without a cooperating witness, its odds of flipping Rudy would go way up with a cooperating witness. That’s why the news on the Lev and Igor front matters. As does the DOJ probe into Sidney Powell’s finances, which seems aimed at flipping her on Rudy.

We watched the DOJ spend all of 2021 painstakingly working its way up the Oath Keepers hierarchy, finally getting to its leaders two months ago, and flipping Roger Stone’s oath keeper driver two weeks ago. Now it has Stone nailed, and if he realizes it, he’ll have to flip on Trump.

If you want Trump to go down, then you should be rooting for guilty pleas, cooperation deals, and flipping. If you’re only looking for the adrenaline rush of seeing mid level henchmen in handcuffs ASAP, that’s not how a crime boss is successfully taken down.

I know many of you have been convinced that we’re “running out of time” and so you’re rooting for the DOJ to make swift panic moves. But I promise you, we are not “running out of time” for anything. The January 6th Committee will, obviously, wrap everything up and make all of its criminal referrals before the midterms, in case it goes badly. No matter how the midterms go, those criminal referrals will move forward with the DOJ, which is not in any way impacted by the midterm results. And we fully 100% control the DOJ through at least 2025.

I can’t stress enough that none of this comes down to you needing to have more “patience.” It’s not about that. If you order a pizza, and you become upset two minutes later because it hasn’t been delivered yet, that’s not a matter of impatience. That’s a lack of familiarity on your part with how pizza works. Similarly, if you’re upset because this or that person hasn’t been indicted yet, it’s not that you need to be more “patient.” It’s just a lack of familiarity on your part with how these kinds of criminal cases work, and how they succeed. Educate yourself on how these things actually work, and you won’t be so frustrated about them not lining up with your personal expectations. Knowledge is power.