President Biden just scored a big one over Trump
Yesterday Palmer Report pointed out that after a number of favorable recent polls, President Biden had finally pulled ahead of Donald Trump in one national polling average. The media liked to hype the polls endlessly when Trump was ahead in a number of them. But now that Biden is ahead in the majority of polls, the media doesn’t seem to want to talk much about the polls anymore. Nevertheless, the polls continue to exist.
To that end, Biden just scored a five point gain in one Wisconsin poll, going from three points behind to two points ahead:
Normal people don’t want an alleged serial election interference criminal
The Manhattan trial is sinking in https://t.co/wZ5KNvZmxl
— Norm Eisen (#TryingTrump out now!) (@NormEisen) April 19, 2024
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The great legal expert Norm Eisen (check out his new book) thinks the ongoing Biden bump in the polls is about the Trump trial. But I have a different take. The polls we’re seeing released right now were at least partially conducted before the trial even began. And of course Biden has been gaining in the polls for a month or more.
I believe Biden has been getting a bump in the polls over the past month for two reasons. One is that according to the consumer confidence index, more Americans now believe the Biden economy is a strong one. Voters toward the middle are more likely to support an incumbent President if the economy is strong. The second reason is that the media has finally begun talking about Trump’s worsening dementia symptoms, which is surely causing him to lose some support from voters toward the middle.
But even with the polls now trending in Biden’s direction – and likely to continue doing so as the Trump trial starts to sink in – presidential elections have a way of being unpredictably close. So we all need to start phone banking, volunteering, and working to register voters. The time to start doing this work is now, when the playing field is still malleable.
