Donald Trump’s luck just ran out

| 9:09 am EDT March 11, 2020
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You’re Donald Trump. You’ve never had an approval rating much higher than forty percent at any point while you’ve been in office. Your reelection strategy has consisted of hoping the Obama economy remains intact, hoping you don’t have a Katrina-like moment, and hoping that the Democrats don’t emerge behind a unifying figure like Joe Biden.

Up until a few weeks ago, Donald Trump had been getting consistently lucky on all three fronts. The trouble for Trump is that his luck is suddenly running out on all three fronts. He’s handling the coronavirus crisis in a way that makes George W. Bush look competent by comparison. The roaring Obama economy, which Trump has been consistently damaging for three years but hadn’t yet managed to destroy, is finally running out of gas thanks to his botched handling of the virus.

Trump’s luck was going to run out on these fronts eventually. The real kicker is that it’s still only March, and the Democrats are unifying behind Joe Biden already. No prolonged and bitter primary battle to the end. No divisive brokered convention. No wasting the next four months on infighting. The Democrats get to start taking their blowtorches to Trump starting now, far sooner than anyone (including me) was expecting. Here comes the hard part for him.