I told you all along that Joe Biden would win big in South Carolina
Just a few minutes after the polls closed in the South Carolina Democratic primary race, MSNBC and the Associated Press declared Joe Biden the winner. This only ever happens when the early results are so overwhelmingly non-competitive, there’s no chance of it ending up being a close race. In other words, Biden has won in a blowout. He’ll head into Super Tuesday this week with significant momentum, and the knowledge that black voters in the upcoming states are likely to turn out for him en masse.
If you’re a Palmer Report reader, none of the above is a surprise to you. I’ve told you all along that whoever won Iowa and New Hampshire, it wasn’t going to mean much, because those two mostly-white states don’t tell us anything about how the diverse states are going to vote. And while Nevada is more diverse than Iowa or New Hampshire, it uses that screwy caucus format that tends to favor candidates who stomp their feet over candidates with broad coalitions.
Numerous media pundits are painting Joe Biden’s South Carolina win as some kind of surprise or comeback, or suggesting that it only happened due to Jim Clyburn’s last minute endorsement. But back in the real world, Biden has been in the lead in the South Carolina polling averages for every single minute of this race.
So many pundits have spent so much time pretending that Biden was in “trouble” and was on the verge of dropping out, they’re now trying to come up with a narrative to explain why he’s suddenly back in the running. But he was never not in the running. As Palmer Report has spent this entire election cycle pointing out, the black vote in South Carolina is the single best predictor of who will end up being the Democratic nominee.
