Democrats win Governor race in Guam. Here’s what that tells us about the rest of tonight’s election results.

| 7:02 pm EST November 6, 2018
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Because of the way time zones work, we’ll start seeing results tonight on the east coast races much sooner than the west coast races. In the meantime, we’ve just gotten the first results tonight – not on the east coast, but in the U.S. territory of Guam. Lou Leon Guerrero, the Democratic nominee, just became the first woman elected Governor of Guam. So what does this tell us about the rest of tonight’s election results?

For what it’s worth, this is the first time that Guam has elected a Democratic Governor in eight years. So this counts as the first “flip” of the night for the Democratic Party. Remarkably, Guerrero won by a 50% to 26% margin over her Republican competitor. So not only was it a blowout, it was also an unusual result, period. Where did all the other voters go? A whopping 22% of the vote went to various write-in candidates.

So what does this tell us? That’s somewhat open to interpretation. Did the Democrat win in a blowout because there really is a major blue wave in play, or because the sheer number of write-in votes simply skewed things, or some combination of both? Stay tuned.