Good news for the Democrats

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As we’re coming up on President Biden’s reelection, North Carolina has emerged as a potential battleground. It was a photo finish for Donald Trump back in 2020, decided by less than 70,000 votes and just over a percentage point.

That suggests that President Biden may have even carried the state back then, with the Democratic candidate for governor winning reelection and a fairly close senate race between Sen. Thom Tillis and Democrat Cal Cunningham, and that was despite Cunningham facing a considerable sex scandal.

We might not have a senate race in NC this year (that will be in 2026), but polling now is within the margin of error for President Biden – with white support holding around 30% that he would need to win the tarheel state. There’s been three consecutive polls so far that show the race within spitting distance, and a new one from Meredith College has gubernatorial candidate Josh Stein enjoying a 9-point lead over his Republican opponent Mark Robinson, a rabid Holocaust denier and antisemite who has made no secret about signing a potential abortion ban in the state if he’s elected.

Roy Cooper won his race by four points in 2020, which suggests that this race will come down to the wire, but it’s clear that if we put in the work now to help President Biden win the state and elect Josh Stein on Nov 5, we’ll win the White House once again.

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