Get your popcorn ready

| 10:30 am EDT September 28, 2020
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We are now five weeks away from the election, and not a whole lot has changed. Washington Post reported that Biden maintains his lead in a “stable” presidential race. What exactly does that mean? Pollsters do not expect many changes from here on, indicating that the numbers have stabilized. Coronavirus continues to spread, the economy continues to drop, the racial divide continues, and Biden holds a steady advantage.

In other words, nothing that happens between now and election day is likely to change the numbers as they now stand now. We have “president” Trump trying to hurriedly push a Supreme Court nominee through, even as many people have already begun voting in the presidential election.

According to the latest Washington Post-ABC News poll, Biden/Harris lead Trump/Pence 53% to 43% among registered voters. This poll indicates that these numbers are “statistically unchanged” from the poll taken in August immediately prior to both parties’ conventions. When the Libertarian Party (Jorgensen) and Green Party (Hawkins) nominees are included, Biden drops to 49% and Trump remains at 43%, indicating, once again, that third-party candidates hurt Democrats more than Republicans. Take this how you wish, but those candidates have no chance of winning this race and are merely making it harder for Democrats. Their candidacies honestly make no sense unless sabotage is their intent. Be that as it may, Biden continues to lead in some specific areas.

While Trump has a 55% to 42% advantage among men, Biden leads among women 65% to 34%. Biden’s lead among women is nearly double Clinton’s lead in 2016. ABC further points out the differences between Biden and Clinton. Among moderates, Clinton won by 12 points; Biden’s current lead among moderates is 47. In the same comparison, Clinton won independent women by 4 points while Biden leads by 57. These numbers reflect a huge change in sentiment, which some pollsters and experts claim reflects the difference in the “likeability factor” between Clinton and Biden. These numbers sound great, but Washington Post cautions that the swing states carry a lot of weight in predicting who will win the presidency.

The presidential race in Arizona and Florida continues to be very tight. Biden still holds the lead in Wisconsin, and he is running away with Minnesota. The debates should be quite interesting. Biden needs to push Trump’s buttons, and let the entire world see just how crazy the man is up close and personal. Trump’s niece Mary suggested that Biden call him “Donald” because he hates being addressed by his first name, but there is so much that can rattle Trump, including the income tax scandal released by New York Times. Even if Biden is not successful in making Trump totally crack, it certainly promises to be another “get your popcorn” moment.