Donald Trump’s overconfidence problem

| 9:30 pm EDT July 5, 2024
Dear Palmer Report readers, we all understand the difficult era we're heading into. Major media outlets are caving to Trump already. Even the internet itself and publishing platforms may be at risk. But Palmer Report is nonetheless going to lead the fight. We're funding our 2025 operating expenses now, so we can keep publishing no matter what happens. I'm asking you to contribute if you can, because the stakes are just so high. You can donate here.

There’s a narrative largely between political news and social media about the state of the 2024 race, even though there isn’t much there to connect it to the real world. As I’ve said earlier this week, the biggest danger is that we get too ensconced in any one narrative and give up – not put in the work that we need to win.

To give you a taste of where things were in 2016: Around this time over that summer, polling showed Donald Trump struggling to gain a footing in deeply red Missouri, and also having a tough time in Georgia. We all know what happened in November – with Trump winning both of those states handily.

I’m not saying we should take the campaign to Missouri – but that we should keep our efforts to the real world and log off social media every once in a while with canvassing and phone banking. The same is true of being careful on how we take each twist and turn whenever news breaks.

Although the drama is largely subsiding, we now have the former guy on video, gloating about how he won the debate – and we’ll probably see more of his overconfidence (as well as Republicans) in the days ahead – something that will likely backfire, particularly in the wake of the SCOTUS ruling from earlier this week. Now, more than ever, is not the time to be complacent and bask in good news – it’s to put in the work – in every special election coming up and the days counting down to Nov 5 to re-elect President Biden, flip the House and keep the Senate. Donate to Palmer Report, click here!

Dear Palmer Report readers, we all understand the difficult era we're heading into. Major media outlets are caving to Trump already. Even the internet itself and publishing platforms may be at risk. But Palmer Report is nonetheless going to lead the fight. We're funding our 2025 operating expenses now, so we can keep publishing no matter what happens. I'm asking you to contribute if you can, because the stakes are just so high. You can donate here.