Donald Trump is barking up the wrong tree

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Every one of you reading this can name the handful of swing states that are most likely going to decide the 2024 election. You’d start with the obvious “big three” of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan. Then you’d add the likes of Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina. You might throw in some other states on top of that, but you’d have to go through a whole lot of states before you got to Minnesota.

President Biden won Minnesota by seven points in 2020, and the latest Fox News poll suggests Harris on track to win the state by an even bigger margin in 2024. Even the Republicans don’t think Minnesota is in play. Yet for some reason Donald Trump is absolutely certain of it.

Trump keeps spending time and resources in Minnesota of all places, even though he has no chance of flipping it. It’s bizarre. Lest you think he has some secret evil genius plan up his sleeve in the state, he doesn’t. Trump also wasted a ton of resources trying to flip Minnesota in 2020, and it got him nowhere.

Yet Trump just keeps going back to Minnesota. Either he’s so far gone cognitively that his babysitters can’t talk him out of his Minnesota obsession, or they’re giving him some truly inept advice by pointing him toward Minnesota.

It’s not that we take any state for granted. It’s that Donald Trump doesn’t seem to understand which states are even truly in play. He’s barking up the wrong tree entirely.

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