Democrats just won big in a special election and flipped a seat in Alabama

| 10:38 pm EDT March 26, 2024
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Over the past few years the Democratic Party has outperformed its poll numbers (and outperformed historical-based projections) in just about every election. Special election, midterm election, off year election. You name it, the Democrats keep doing better than they were expected to.

That happened again tonight in a special election in Alabama, for a state legislature seat:

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This is a tremendous shift in expectations, and undeniably good news for the Democrats heading into 2024. To be clear, this is for a state legislature seat, so it doesn’t impact the currently teetering majority in the U.S. House. And it doesn’t suddenly mean Alabama will be in play in November in general. But it’s proof that the polls and such really don’t tell us much anymore. The Democrats nearly always outperform their numbers these days, often by sizable margins, and you can expect President Biden to do the same in 2024.

Dear Palmer Report readers, we all understand the difficult era we're heading into. Major media outlets are caving to Trump already. Even the internet itself and publishing platforms may be at risk. But Palmer Report is nonetheless going to lead the fight. We're funding our 2025 operating expenses now, so we can keep publishing no matter what happens. I'm asking you to contribute if you can, because the stakes are just so high. You can donate here.