The numbers say that the November 2018 “Blue Wave” is indeed the real deal
The stars appear to be aligning for an incredible 2018 election season for the Democrats. Ever since the stolen presidential election in 2016, so-called political experts have been discussing the coming “Blue Wave.” While history does point towards a sweeping liberal win, as we saw in 2016, things do not always go according to plan, so what is driving this belief? Despite Donald Trump’s false claims of being anywhere near a 50% approval rating (he’s not), we know that he has been ranging between the upper 30 and lower 40 percent range for approval in legitimate polls. According to Gallup, in midterm elections where the sitting president is below 50%, the other party takes 36 House seats on average.
There are also a record number of Republicans deciding not to run for reelection for a multitude of reasons. Rep. Ryan Costello, current Congressman from Pennsylvania district 6, has decided not to run again after the illegal gerrymandering in PA was ruled unconstitutional, and he realized he’d never win a fair election. Texas Congressman Blake Farenthold just announced he will resign immediately, following the backlash after it became known he settled a sexual harassment claim with taxpayer money. Trey Gowdy, once an outspoken Trump supporter, announced that he would not seek reelection after witnessing what the FBI had on former Trump campaign adviser Carter Page.
A top independent political handicapping site, the Cook Political Report, just announced that there are ten times more Republican-held seats rated as competitive than there are for Democrat-held seats. With Republicans currently holding a 23 seat advantage in the House of Representatives, this 50 to 5 difference is huge. With so many Americans turning eighteen every day, there is a new generation of voters, with many seeming to be fed up with what is currently going on in government.
California just announced that they have exceeded 100,000 teenagers pre-registered to vote. Following the lack of legit help with the hurricane that devastated Puerto Rico last year, many have moved to the U.S. mainland. Being American citizens, they have the right to vote, and are very mad at the way the Trump administration left them without electricity or drinking water. With so many good reasons to vote out those in Congress who have only worked to benefit themselves and their wealthy donors, there is a very good reason to believe what the experts are saying: we are headed to a Blue Wave in November.
I’m a ceramic engineer living in Central New York, avid sports fan but find myself more interested in politics lately.