There is literally ZERO chance that Donald Trump becomes Speaker of the House
After House Republicans narrowly won the majority in 2022, there was widespread doomsday hysteria on our side about how Republicans were supposedly going to make Donald Trump the Speaker of the House. This had literally zero chance of happening, because Trump never could have come close to getting the necessary 218 votes. Sure enough, someone nominated him as a stunt, but he got just a couple of votes before being forgotten in the later rounds.
Now that the Speaker position is once again open, certain House Republicans are publicly floating the idea of making Donald Trump the Speaker. This once again has literally zero chance of happening. But the people floating Trump’s name have achieved their goal, which was to bait the scaredy cats on our side into yelling “Oh no, they’re going to make Trump the Speaker, we’re doomed,” which has in turn motivated the media to start chasing ratings by hyping the imaginary Trump-as-Speaker scenario as if it were real. The doomsday hysteria over Trump becoming Speaker is so out of control, it’s now trending on social media. There are that many people obsessing over this “Speaker Trump” scenario – when it’s not even a real thing.
So let’s put this ridiculous false narrative to bed. The entire reason Kevin McCarthy agreed to a budget deal over the weekend is that the House Republicans running in toss-up races forced him to. They didn’t want a shutdown, because it would have played poorly with voters in their moderate districts, and would have put their 2024 reelection prospects at risk. They obviously forced McCarthy to cut a budget deal under the behind the scenes threat of ousting him (there is literally no other reason McCarthy would have cut such a deal, giving the pressure he was facing from the other side).
These same House Republicans in toss-up districts, who just got done keeping the shutdown from happening for fear of how poorly it would play in their moderate districts, are OBVIOUSLY not going to turn right around and vote for Donald Trump to be Speaker of the House. That would play far more poorly in their moderate districts than a shutdown would have. So this alone proves that there are not the votes to make Trump the Speaker. It’s as simple as that.
The narratives about Trump becoming the Speaker are conveniently ignoring the fact that he has no path to get 218 votes, and are instead jumping straight to the doomsday hype about what how awful it would be if he did become Speaker. This bullshit – and it is complete bullshit – is aimed at triggering such an emotional response in you that you don’t even stop to think about whether it’s a real thing before jumping straight to the emotional reaction.
But the fact that “Speaker Trump” isn’t a real thing, and has literally zero chance of happening, never seems to matter to the media and pundit class. They’re going to take this imaginary scenario and unanimously hype it as if it’s a real thing that can happen and is likely to happen. The only difference will be that right wing media will hype it as being fantastic, while the mainstream media will hype it as being a catastrophe. But the entire media will fraudulently conspire to sell you on the false idea that Trump could actually become Speaker.
Again, we just got done seeing proof that there weren’t anywhere near 218 House Republican votes for Trump’s shutdown. So there sure as hell aren’t anywhere near 218 House Republican votes for Trump to become Speaker. The media is committing fraud by pretending “Trump as Speaker” is an actual possibility. And the people who keep naively falling for these fictional media narratives need to learn to stop doing so. Any reporter or pundit who talks about “Trump as Speaker” as if it’s a real thing, that could actually happen, is not someone you need to ever listen to again.
